a5540675.htm
UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, DC 20549

Form 10-Q


( X )
QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

For the quarterly period ended September 30, 2007

OR

(  )
TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934

Commission File Number 1-9035


POPE RESOURCES,
A DELAWARE LIMITED PARTNERSHIP
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
 
Delaware
(State or other jurisdiction of
incorporation or organization)
91-1313292
(IRS Employer
Identification Number)

 
19245 10th Avenue NE, Poulsbo, WA 98370
Telephone: (360) 697-6626
(Address of principal executive offices including zip code)
(Registrant's telephone number including area code)


Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15 (d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days.    Yes  X         No_____

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a large accelerated filer, an accelerated filer, or non-accelerated filer.  See definition of “accelerated filer and large accelerated filer” in rule 12b-2 of the Securities and Exchange Act of 1934).
 
Large Accelerated Filer
Accelerated Filer  
X
Non Accelerated Filer

 
Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is a shell company (as defined in Rule 12-2 of the Exchange Act Yes____ No__X_

Partnership units outstanding at November 1, 2007: 4,688,277
 

Pope Resources
Index to Form 10-Q Filing
For the Quarter Ended September 30, 2007
 
Description
 
Page Number
   
     
   
 
 
 
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
   
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
     
 
 
 

PART I – FINANCIAL INFORMATION

ITEM 1
 
 
3

 
Pope Resources
 
 
(unaudited, in thousands)
 
             
   
September 30,
   
December 31,
 
   
2007
   
2006
 
Assets
           
Current assets:
           
Cash and cash equivalents
  $
3,940
    $
7,194
 
Short-term investments
   
27,000
     
25,000
 
Accounts receivable
   
2,133
     
1,074
 
Land held for sale at cost
   
4,624
     
2,813
 
Current portion of contracts receivable
   
4,571
     
4,547
 
Prepaid expenses and other
   
486
     
499
 
Total current assets
   
42,754
     
41,127
 
Properties and equipment at cost:
               
Land held for development
   
16,716
     
13,294
 
Land and land improvements
   
22,324
     
22,327
 
Roads and timber (net of accumulated
               
depletion of $47,787 and $43,461)
   
94,483
     
98,110
 
Buildings and equipment (net of accumulated
               
depreciation of $7,086 and $6,748)
   
3,622
     
3,405
 
     
137,145
     
137,136
 
Other assets:
               
Contracts receivable, net of current portion
   
1,275
     
1,161
 
Other
   
244
     
858
 
     
1,519
     
2,019
 
                 
Total assets
  $
181,418
    $
180,282
 
                 
Liabilities and Partners' Capital
               
Current liabilities:
               
Accounts payable
  $
1,479
    $
1,114
 
Accrued liabilities
   
1,438
     
3,083
 
Current portion of long-term debt
   
1,342
     
1,342
 
Deferred revenue
   
7,747
     
8,838
 
Environmental remediation
   
158
     
236
 
Minority interest - IPMB
   
3
     
77
 
Other current liabilities
   
97
     
85
 
Total current liabilities
   
12,264
     
14,775
 
                 
Long-term debt, net of current portion
   
29,490
     
30,866
 
Other long term liabilities
   
282
     
351
 
                 
Minority interest - ORM Timber Fund I, LP
   
45,969
     
46,685
 
                 
Partners' capital (units outstanding 4,688 and 4,647)
   
93,413
     
87,605
 
                 
Total liabilities and partners' capital
  $
181,418
    $
180,282
 
                 
See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated financial statements.
 
 
4

 
Pope Resources
 
 
(thousands, except per unit data)
 
(unaudited)
 
                         
                         
   
Three Months Ended Sept 30,
   
Nine Months Ended Sept 30,
 
   
2007
   
2006
   
2007
   
2006
 
                         
Revenues
  $
12,171
    $
18,024
    $
34,284
    $
49,717
 
Cost of timber and land sold
    (5,171 )     (6,198 )     (14,302 )     (21,037 )
Operating expenses
    (2,815 )     (2,448 )     (7,426 )     (7,476 )
Environmental remediation
   
-
      (114 )    
-
      (114 )
General and administrative expenses
    (957 )     (861 )     (3,688 )     (2,767 )
Income from operations
   
3,228
     
8,403
     
8,868
     
18,323
 
                                 
Other income (expense):
                         
Interest expense
    (637 )     (667 )     (1,939 )     (2,026 )
Capitalized interest
   
294
     
218
     
812
     
580
 
Interest income
   
453
     
334
     
1,264
     
805
 
     
110
      (115 )    
137
      (641 )
                                 
Income before income taxes and minority interest
   
3,338
     
8,288
     
9,005
     
17,682
 
                                 
Income tax provision
    (5 )     (16 )     (22 )     (453 )
                                 
Income before minority interest
   
3,333
     
8,272
     
8,983
     
17,229
 
                                 
Minority interest - IPMB
   
-
     
7
     
-
      (112 )
Minority interest - ORM Timber Fund I, LP
   
218
     
-
     
237
     
-
 
                                 
Net income
  $
3,551
    $
8,279
    $
9,220
    $
17,117
 
                                 
                                 
Allocable to general partners
  $
45
    $
107
    $
118
    $
221
 
Allocable to limited partners
   
3,506
     
8,172
     
9,102
     
16,896
 
                                 
Earnings per unit:
                               
Basic
  $
0.76
    $
1.78
    $
1.97
    $
3.69
 
Diluted
  $
0.74
    $
1.74
    $
1.91
    $
3.60
 
                                 
Weighted average units outstanding:
                         
Basic
   
4,687
     
4,645
     
4,679
     
4,641
 
Diluted
   
4,831
     
4,769
     
4,823
     
4,760
 
                                 
                                 
See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated financial statements.
 
 
5

 
 Pope Resources
 
 
 (unauduted, in thousands)
 
     
Nine months ended September 30,
 
     
2007
   
2006
 
Cash flows provided by operating activities
             
Net income
    $
9,220
    $
17,117
 
Add back (deduct) non-cash charges (credits):
                 
Deferred revenue
      (1,091 )    
1,032
 
Depletion
     
4,179
     
5,970
 
Equity based compensation
     
492
     
346
 
Depreciation and amortization
     
604
     
534
 
Deferred taxes
     
45
      (11 )
Minority interest
      (237 )    
112
 
Cost of land sold
     
532
     
4,837
 
Change in working capital accounts:
                 
Accounts receivable
      (1,059 )    
-
 
Contracts receivable
      (138 )     (683 )
Other current assets
     
13
      (241 )
Accounts payable
     
365
     
72
 
Accrued liabilities
      (1,338 )     (678 )
Deposits
     
12
     
10
 
Environmental remediation
      (78 )     (23 )
Other long term liabilities
      (69 )    
106
 
Other long term assets
     
547
     
-
 
Other
      (5 )    
2
 
Net cash flows provided by operating activities
     
11,994
     
28,502
 
                   
Cash flows from investing activities:
                 
Capital expenditures
      (7,413 )     (8,999 )
Purchase of short-term investments
      (2,000 )     (14,000 )
                   
Net cash used in investing activities
      (9,413 )     (22,999 )
                   
Cash flows from financing activities:
                 
Option exercises
     
649
     
248
 
Excess tax benefit from equity based compensation
     
-
     
42
 
Minority interest distribution
      (75 )     (166 )
Repayment of long-term debt
      (1,377 )     (1,675 )
Unitholder distribution
      (5,032 )     (3,650 )
                   
Net cash used in financing activities
      (5,835 )     (5,201 )
                   
Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents
      (3,254 )    
302
 
Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of year
     
7,194
     
3,361
 
                   
Cash and cash equivalents at end of the period
    $
3,940
    $
3,663
 
                   
See accompanying notes to condensed consolidated financial statements.
 
 
6

Pope Resources
Notes to Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements
(Unaudited)
September 30, 2007

1.
The condensed consolidated financial statements as of September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006 and for the three months (quarter) and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2007 and September 30, 2006 have been prepared by Pope Resources, A Delaware Limited Partnership (“the Partnership”) pursuant to the rules and regulations of the Securities and Exchange Commission (the "SEC"). The condensed consolidated financial statements are unaudited, but, in the opinion of management, reflect all adjustments (consisting only of normal recurring adjustments and accruals) necessary for a fair presentation of the financial position, results of operations and cash flows for the interim periods. The financial information as of December 31, 2006, is derived from the Partnership’s audited consolidated financial statements and notes thereto for the year ended December 31, 2006, and should be read in conjunction with such financial statements. The results of operations for the 2007 interim periods are not necessarily indicative of the results of operations that may be achieved for the entire fiscal year ending December 31, 2007.
 
2.
The financial statements in the Partnership's 2006 Annual Report on Form 10-K include a summary of significant accounting policies of the Partnership and this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q should be read in conjunction with those policies.
 
3.
Basic net earnings per unit are based on the weighted average number of units outstanding during the period.  Diluted net earnings per unit are based on the weighted average number of units and dilutive unit options outstanding at the end of the period.
 
   
Quarter Ended
September 30,
   
Nine Months Ended
September 30,
 
   
2007
   
2006
   
2007
   
2006
 
Weighted average units outstanding (in thousands):
                       
 Basic
   
4,687
     
4,645
     
4,679
     
4,641
 
 Dilutive effect of unit options
   
144
     
124
     
144
     
119
 
 Diluted
   
4,831
     
4,769
     
4,823
     
4,760
 
 
Options to purchase 212,000 units at prices ranging from $9.30 to $37.73 per unit were outstanding as of September 30, 2007.  For computing the dilutive effect of unit options for the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2007, no options were anti-dilutive and thus all options were included in the calculation.
 
Options to purchase 254,000 units at prices ranging from $9.30 to $37.73 per unit were outstanding as of September 30, 2006.  For computing the dilutive effect of unit options for the quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2006, options to purchase 1,100 units at prices ranging from $33.15 to $37.73 were not included in the calculation as they were anti-dilutive.
 
4.
In 2005, we adopted the 2005 Unit Incentive Plan.  Following adoption of this new plan the Board of Directors began issuing restricted units instead of unit options as its primary method of granting equity based compensation.

Restricted Units
The Partnership issues new units to those exercising partnership unit options and when granting partnership restricted units.  As of September 30, 2007, total compensation expense related to non-vested restricted unit awards not yet recognized was $1.3 million with a weighted average 31 months remaining to vest.  At September 30, 2007, there were 55,750 restricted units outstanding having an aggregate intrinsic value of approximately $2.4 million.
 
7

Unit Options
 
Unit options have not been granted since December 2005.  Units options granted prior to January 1, 2006 were non-qualified options granted at an exercise price not less than 100% of the fair value on the grant date.  Unit options granted to employees vested over four or five years.  Board members had the option of receiving their annual retainer in the form of unit options and those options vested immediately as they were granted monthly for services rendered during the month. Options granted generally have a life of ten years from the date of the grant.  As of September 30, 2007 there was $12,000 of unrecognized compensation cost related to unit options granted.

5.
The Partnership maintains a liability on its balance sheet to reflect our estimate of remaining costs to complete the environmental remediation at the Port Gamble townsite.  The clean up activities at this site have been shared with Pope & Talbot, Inc. (“P&T”) under a contribution agreement.  On August 6, 2007 P&T announced that it had entered into a forbearance agreement with its senior lenders.
 
Following this announcement management believes there is a possibility that all or some portion of P&T’s liability under the contribution agreement will not be fulfilled, as a result of which the Partnership my be required to meet all or a portion of P&T’s unsatisfied obligations.  Management does not currently have enough information to estimate the amount of this liability, but notes that P&T has a $1.2 million liability accrual on its books as reported in its June 30, 2007 Form 10-Q related to environmental liabilities at Port Gamble.
 
Subsequent to the period covered by this report, on October 28, 2007 P&T filed a petition under Canadian bankruptcy laws seeking protection from creditors in connection with restructuring its business. P&T has announced that it intends to continue limited operations during its insolvency proceedings but has given no assurance when or if it will exit bankruptcy or whether it will be able to satisfy its unsecured obligations.
 
6.
 
Supplemental disclosure of cash flow information: For the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, interest paid net of amounts capitalized amounted to $1.1 million and $1.5 million, respectively.  Income taxes paid for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 amounted to $353,000 and $234,000, respectively.
 
7.
Revenue, operating income, and EBITDDA, which management uses as a measure of segment profit or loss, for the quarters and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, by segment, including amounts relating to ORM Timber Fund I, LP, which is part of the Fee Timber segment, are as set forth below.
 
 
8

 
   
Fee Timber
   
Timberland
                   
Three Months Ended
 
Pope Resources
         
Total
   
Management &
   
Real
             
September 30 (Thousands)
 
Timber
   
Timberfund
   
Fee Timber
   
Consulting
   
Estate
   
Other
   
Consolidated
 
2007
                                         
Revenue internal
  $
8,697
    $
1,180
    $
9,877
    $
612
    $
1,979
    $
-
    $
12,468
 
Eliminations
    (41 )    
-
      (41 )     (246 )     (10 )    
-
      (297 )
Revenue external
   
8,656
     
1,180
     
9,836
     
366
     
1,969
     
-
     
12,171
 
                                                         
Cost of sales
    (3,522 )     (1,106 )     (4,628 )    
-
      (543 )    
-
      (5,171 )
                                                         
Operating expenses internal
    (1,231 )     (347 )     (1,578 )     (667 )     (867 )     (957 )     (4,069 )
Eliminations
   
27
     
232
     
259
     
57
      (19 )    
-
     
297
 
Operating expenses external
    (1,204 )     (115 )     (1,319 )     (610 )     (886 )     (957 )     (3,772 )
                                                         
Income (loss) from operations internal
   
3,944
      (273 )    
3,671
      (55 )    
569
      (957 )    
3,228
 
Eliminations
    (14 )    
232
     
218
      (189 )     (29 )    
-
     
-
 
Income (loss) from operations external
  $
3,930
    $ (41 )   $
3,889
    $ (244 )   $
540
    $ (957 )   $
3,228
 
                                                         
EBITDDA reconciliation:
                                                       
Minority interest
   
-
     
218
     
218
     
-
     
-
     
-
     
218
 
Depletion
   
908
     
522
     
1,430
     
-
     
-
     
-
     
1,430
 
Depreciation and amortization
   
61
     
26
     
87
     
21
     
49
     
48
     
205
 
EBITDDA
  $
4,899
    $
725
    $
5,624
    $ (223 )   $
589
    $ (909 )   $
5,081
 
                                                         
2006
                                                       
Revenue internal
  $
8,749
    $
-
    $
8,749
    $
581
    $
9,341
    $
-
    $
18,671
 
Eliminations
    (635 )    
-
      (635 )     (3 )     (9 )    
-
      (647 )
Revenue external
   
8,114
     
-
     
8,114
     
578
     
9,332
     
-
     
18,024
 
                                                         
Cost of sales
    (3,416 )    
-
      (3,416 )    
-
      (2,782 )    
-
      (6,198 )
                                                         
Operating expenses internal
    (1,139 )    
-
      (1,139 )     (546 )     (1,524 )     (861 )     (4,070 )
Eliminations
   
4
     
-
     
4
     
1
     
642
     
-
     
647
 
Operating expenses external
    (1,135 )    
-
      (1,135 )     (545 )     (882 )     (861 )     (3,423 )
                                                         
Income (loss) from operations internal
   
4,194
     
-
     
4,194
     
35
     
5,035
      (861 )    
8,403
 
Eliminations
    (631 )    
-
      (631 )     (2 )    
633
     
-
     
-
 
Income (loss) from operations external
  $
3,563
    $
-
    $
3,563
    $
33
    $
5,668
    $ (861 )   $
8,403
 
                                                         
EBITDDA reconciliation:
                                                       
Minority interest
   
-
     
-
     
-
     
7
     
-
     
-
     
7
 
Depletion
   
1,058
     
-
     
1,058
     
-
     
220
     
-
     
1,278
 
Depreciation and amortization
   
65
     
-
     
65
     
18
     
25
     
67
     
175
 
EBITDDA
  $
4,686
    $
-
    $
4,686
    $
58
    $
5,913
    $ (794 )   $
9,863
 
 
 
9

 
 
   
Fee Timber
   
Timberland
                   
Nine Months Ended
 
Pope Resources
         
Total
   
Management &
   
Real
             
September 30 (Thousands)
 
Timber
   
Timberfund
   
Fee Timber
   
Consulting
   
Estate
   
Other
   
Consolidated
 
2007
                                         
Revenue internal
  $
28,039
    $
2,726
    $
30,765
    $
1,763
    $
2,598
    $
-
    $
35,126
 
Eliminations
    (123 )    
-
      (123 )     (689 )     (30 )    
-
      (842 )
Revenue external
   
27,916
     
2,726
     
30,642
     
1,074
     
2,568
     
-
     
34,284
 
                                                         
Cost of sales
    (11,556 )     (2,150 )     (13,706 )    
-
      (596 )    
-
      (14,302 )
                                                         
Operating expenses internal
    (3,206 )     (872 )     (4,078 )     (1,757 )     (2,433 )     (3,688 )     (11,956 )
Eliminations
   
50
     
675
     
725
     
139
      (22 )    
-
     
842
 
Operating expenses external
    (3,156 )     (197 )     (3,353 )     (1,618 )     (2,455 )     (3,688 )     (11,114 )
                                                         
Income (loss) from operations internal
   
13,277
      (296 )    
12,981
     
6
      (431 )     (3,688 )    
8,868
 
Eliminations
    (73 )    
675
     
602
      (550 )     (52 )    
-
     
-
 
Income (loss) from operations external
  $
13,204
    $
379
    $
13,583
    $ (544 )   $ (483 )   $ (3,688 )   $
8,868
 
                                                         
EBITDDA reconciliation:
                                                       
Minority interest
   
-
     
237
     
237
     
-
     
-
     
-
     
237
 
Depletion
   
3,223
     
956
     
4,179
     
-
     
-
     
-
     
4,179
 
Depreciation and amortization
   
193
     
61
     
254
     
62
     
136
     
152
     
604
 
EBITDDA
  $
16,620
    $
1,633
    $
18,253
    $ (482 )   $ (347 )   $ (3,536 )   $
13,888
 
                                                         
                                                         
2006
                                                       
Revenue internal
  $
32,924
    $
-
    $
32,924
    $
3,168
    $
14,311
    $
-
    $
50,403
 
Eliminations
    (637 )    
-
      (637 )     (22 )     (27 )    
-
      (686 )
Revenue external
   
32,287
     
-
     
32,287
     
3,146
     
14,284
     
-
     
49,717
 
                                                         
Cost of sales
    (15,194 )    
-
      (15,194 )    
-
      (5,843 )    
-
      (21,037 )
                                                         
Operating expenses internal
    (3,304 )    
-
      (3,304 )     (1,803 )     (3,169 )     (2,767 )     (11,043 )
Eliminations
   
20
     
-
     
20
     
23
     
643
     
-
     
686
 
Operating expenses external
    (3,284 )    
-
      (3,284 )     (1,780 )     (2,526 )     (2,767 )     (10,357 )
                                                         
Income (loss) from operations internal
   
14,426
     
-
     
14,426
     
1,365
     
5,299
      (2,767 )    
18,323
 
Eliminations
    (617 )    
-
      (617 )    
1
     
616
     
-
     
-
 
Income (loss) from operations external
  $
13,809
    $
-
    $
13,809
    $
1,366
    $
5,915
    $ (2,767 )   $
18,323
 
                                                         
EBITDDA reconciliation:
                                                       
Minority interest
   
-
     
-
     
-
      (112 )    
-
     
-
      (112 )
Depletion
   
5,750
     
-
     
5,750
     
-
     
220
     
-
     
5,970
 
Depreciation and amortization
   
198
     
-
     
198
     
54
     
102
     
180
     
534
 
EBITDDA
  $
19,757
    $
-
    $
19,757
    $
1,308
    $
6,237
    $ (2,587 )   $
24,715
 
 
 
10

ITEM 2

MANAGEMENT'S DISCUSSION AND ANALYSIS OF FINANCIAL CONDITION AND RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

This report contains a number of projections and statements about our expected financial condition, operating results, and business plans and objectives. These statements reflect our management's estimates based on our current goals, in light of currently known circumstances and management's expectations about future developments. Statements about expectations and future performance are “forward looking statements” within the meaning of federal and state securities laws. Because these statements describe our goals, objectives and anticipated performance, they are inherently uncertain, and some or all of these statements may not come to pass. Accordingly, you should not interpret these statements as promises that we will perform at a given level or that we will take any or all of the actions we currently expect to take. Our future actions, as well as our actual performance, will vary from our current expectations, and under various circumstances these variations may be material and adverse. Some of the factors that may cause our actual operating results and financial condition to fall short of our expectations are set forth in the part of this report entitled “Item 1A: Risk Factors ” below and other factors discussed elsewhere in this report or in our annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2006. The forward-looking statements in this report reflect our estimates as of the date of the report, and we cannot undertake to update these statements as our business operations and environment change.  References in this report to first-person pronouns such as “we,” “our,” and “us” refer to the Partnership or, when used to express intentions or expectations, to the Partnership’s management and managing general partner.

This discussion should be read in conjunction with the financial statements and related notes included with this report.
 
EXECUTIVE OVERVIEW

Pope Resources, A Delaware Limited Partnership (“we” or the “Partnership”), was organized in late 1985 as a result of a spin-off by Pope & Talbot, Inc. (“P&T”).  We are engaged in three primary businesses. The first, and by far most significant, segment in terms of owned assets and operations is the Fee Timber segment.  Operations in this segment consist of growing timber to be harvested as logs for sale to domestic and to a lesser extent export manufacturers.  The second most significant business in terms of total assets owned is the development and sale of real estate. Real Estate activities primarily take the form of securing permits, entitlements and, in some cases, installing infrastructure for raw land development, and then realizing that land’s value through the sale of larger parcels to buyers who may take the land further up the value chain to home buyers, residential developers, or to developers, operators and lessors of commercial property. Since these land projects ordinarily span multiple years, the Real Estate segment may incur losses for multiple years while a project is developed until that project is sold, which results in operating income to the extent the sale proceeds exceed our basis in the project.  Our third business is providing timberland-related services to third parties and raising investment capital from third parties for private equity timber funds , including a fund we established and manage, ORM Timber Fund I, LP (the “Fund”).

In late 2006, the Fund purchased 24,000 acres of timberland in two transactions using 95% of the Fund’s committed capital, or $58.5 million, of the $61.8 million committed overall.  As a result of these acquisitions, the Timberland Management & Consulting segment generates fees associated with management of the Fund.  The Fund is consolidated into our financial statements with the 80% third-party Fund interest reported as minority interest.  The fees associated with management of the Fund are eliminated in consolidation.

Management’s major opportunity and challenge is to profitably grow our revenue base. For our Fee Timber and Timberland Management & Consulting segments, the revenue base is typically thought of in terms of acres owned or under management. Our Real Estate opportunities and challenges center on identifying properties in our portfolio of owned assets with potential development value.  Once identified, we attempt to maximize that value through securing entitlements and, in some cases installing infrastructure, prior to selling the property.
 
11

RESULTS OF OPERATIONS

The following table reconciles and compares key revenue and cost elements that impact our net income for each of the quarter and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2007 and , 2006.  In addition to the table’s detailed numeric analysis, the explanatory text that follows the table describes many of these changes by business segment:
 
QUARTER TO QUARTER COMPARISONS
 
(Amounts in $000's except per unit data)
 
             
   
Q3 2007 vs. Q3 2006
   
Q3 2007 vs. Q2 2007
 
             
   
Total
   
Total
 
             
Net income:
           
3rd Quarter 2007
  $
3,551
    $
3,551
 
2nd Quarter 2007
     
4,815
 
3rd Quarter 2006
   
8,279
         
Variance
  $ (4,728 )   $ (1,264 )
                 
Detail of earnings variance:
         
Fee Timber
               
Log price realizations (A)
  $ (183 )   $ (228 )
Log volumes (B)
   
1,920
      (4,618 )
Depletion
    (152 )    
608
 
Production costs
    (1,059 )    
1,040
 
Other Fee Timber
    (201 )     (220 )
Timberland Management & Consulting
         
Management fee changes
   
69
     
147
 
Disposition fee changes
   
-
     
-
 
Other Timberland Mgmnt & Consulting
    (346 )     (222 )
Real Estate
               
Environmental remediation liability
   
114
     
-
 
Land sales
    (5,050 )    
1,218
 
Other Real Estate
    (192 )     (216 )
General & administrative costs
    (96 )    
749
 
Interest net
   
225
     
110
 
Minority interest
   
211
     
363
 
Income taxes
   
12
     
5
 
Total change in earnings
  $ (4,728 )   $ (1,264 )
                 
                 
(A) Price variance calculated by extending the change in average realized price by current period volume.
 
(B) Volume variance calculated by extending change in sales volume by the average log sales price for the comparison period.  
 
Fee Timber
 
Fee Timber revenue is earned primarily from the harvest and sale of logs from the Partnership’s nearly 114,000 acres of fee timberland located in western Washington.  We also recognize Fee Timber revenue from sales of timber harvested from the 24,000 acres of timberland owned by the Fund.  Other revenue includes lease revenue generated from cell tower sites and sand and gravel pits located on our tree farms. Revenue from the sales of timberland tracts will also appear periodically in results for this segment. Our Fee Timber revenue is driven primarily by the volume of timber harvested, which we ordinarily express in terms of millions of board feet, or “MMBF”, and by the average prices realized on log sales, which we express in dollars per thousand board feet, or “MBF”.
 
12

 
The Fund harvested 2.3 MMBF and 4.9 MMBF during the three and nine month periods ended September 30, 2007, respectively, with an average price realized of $510/MBF and $558/MBF.  We plan to harvest a total of 5.5 MMBF from the Fund’s timberlands in 2007.  The Fund is consolidated into our financial statements and as a result the Fund’s harvest is included in the Fee Timber discussion.
 
When discussing our Fee Timber operations, we compare current results to both the previous quarter and the corresponding quarter of the prior year.  Both of these comparisons are made to help the reader gain an understanding of the trends in market price and harvest volumes that affect Fee Timber results of operations.  Revenue and operating income for the Fee Timber segment for the quarters ended September 30, 2007, June 30, 2007, and September 30, 2006 are as follows:
                  
($ Million)
Quarter Ended:
 
Log Sale Revenue
   
Mineral, Cell Tower
& Other Revenue
   
Total Fee Timber
Revenue
   
Operating Income
   
Harvest volume (MMBF)
 
September 30, 2007
  $
9.3
    $
0.5
    $
9.8
    $
3.9
     
15.2
 
June 30, 2007
   
14.1
     
0.5
     
14.6
     
7.3
     
22.6
 
September 30, 2006
   
7.6
     
0.5
     
8.1
     
3.6
     
12.1
 
 
The decrease in revenue and operating income for the current quarter relative to the preceding quarter of 2007 is attributable to a 7.4 MMBF decrease in harvest volume combined with a $15/MBF decrease in average price realized.  This decline in harvest volume is principally due to the acceleration of logging from the Columbia tree farm into the first two quarters of this year. Fee Timber revenue in the current quarter is $1.7 million higher than the comparable period in 2006 due to a 3.1 MMBF increase in harvest volume netted against a $12/MBF decrease in average price realized.  Harvest volume has increased in the current quarter compared to 2006’s third quarter due to inclusion of a higher proportion of the Hood Canal tree farm’s annual harvest in 2007 results and 2.3 MMBF of Fund volume not available for harvest in 2006.
 
Revenue and operating income for the Fee Timber segment for the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 were as follows:
                 
($ Million)
Nine months Ended:
 
Log Sale Revenue
   
Mineral, Cell Tower
& Other Revenue
   
Total Fee Timber
Revenue
   
Operating Income
   
Harvest volume (MMBF)
 
September 30, 2007
  $
29.2
    $
1.4
    $
30.6
    $
13.6
     
47.9
 
September 30, 2006
   
31.0
     
1.3
     
32.3
     
13.8
     
50.8
 
 
The decrease in revenue and operating income in 2007 relative to 2006 is due primarily to a 2.9 MMBF decrease in volume harvested. Through the first nine months of 2007, we have harvested approximately 87% of our expected annual volume. Harvest volume during the first nine months of 2007 also includes 4.9 MMBF of Fund volume. Through September 30, 2006, we had harvested over 90% of our full-year harvest.
 
Log Volume
 
The Partnership harvested the following log volumes by species from its timberlands for the quarters ended September 30, 2007, June 30, 2007, and September 30, 2006 and the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2007 and 2006:
 
13

 
Log volumes (MBF):
 
Quarter Ended
 
Sawlogs
 
30-Sep-07
   
% Total
   
30-Jun-07
   
% Total
   
30-Sep-06
   
% Total
 
 
Douglas-fir
   
7,602
      50 %    
15,991
      71 %    
8,626
      71 %
 
Whitewood
   
2,272
      15 %    
2,922
      13 %    
483
      4 %
 
Cedar
   
931
      6 %    
575
      2 %    
188
      2 %
 
Hardwood
   
1,297
      8 %    
878
      4 %    
1,464
      12 %
Pulp
                                                 
 
All Species
   
3,127
      21 %    
2,241
      10 %    
1,386
      11 %
Total
     
15,229
      100 %    
22,607
      100 %    
12,147
      100 %
 
Log volumes (MBF):
 
Nine Months Ended
 
Sawlogs
 
30-Sep-07
   
% Total
   
30-Sep-06
   
% Total
 
 
Douglas-fir
   
30,708
      64 %    
36,908
      73 %
 
Whitewood
   
5,985
      13 %    
3,628
      7 %
 
Cedar
   
1,566
      3 %    
774
      2 %
 
Hardwood
   
2,304
      5 %    
3,170
      6 %
Pulp
                                 
 
All Species
   
7,312
      15 %    
6,350
      12 %
Total
     
47,875
      100 %    
50,830
      100 %
 
Through September 30, 2007, we have harvested 48 MMBF of our targeted 55 MMBF annual harvest for this year.  In 2007, we have moderated the front loading of our annual harvest resulting in a greater proportion of our annual harvest volume falling in the third quarter.  Through September, 30, 2007 our production of whitewood sawlogs as a percentage of total harvest nearly doubled from the comparable period in 2006, in part because the Fund’s timberlands contain a higher proportion of whitewood inventory than our other tree farms.
 
Log Prices
 
While harvest volume is largely within management’s control, one additional factor that impacts our Fee Timber income is the price we realize upon selling our logs into the market.  We try to maximize Fee Timber revenue by adjusting the timing and mix of our harvest to take advantage of current market conditions where possible. However, log prices are a result of a broader range of economic and political factors and are largely beyond our ability to control, except at the margins. We realized the following log prices for the quarters ended September 30, 2007, June 30, 2007 and September 30, 2006 and the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2007 and 2006:
 
     
Average price realizations (per MBF):
 
     
Quarter Ended
   
Nine Months Ended
 
     
30-Sep-07
   
30-Jun-07
   
30-Sep-06
   
30-Sep-07
   
30-Sep-06
 
Sawlogs
                             
 
Douglas-fir
  $
622
    $
638
    $
662
    $
628
    $
672
 
 
Whitewood
   
446
     
477
     
462
     
467
     
446
 
 
Cedar
   
1,347
     
1,333
     
1,260
     
1,335
     
1,058
 
 
Hardwood
   
960
     
945
     
683
     
938
     
663
 
Pulp
                                         
 
All Species
   
353
     
398
     
281
     
397
     
261
 
                                           
Overall
  $
611
    $
626
    $
623
    $
611
    $
610
 
 
14

 
Douglas-fir: Douglas-fir represents the primary tree species growing on our timberlands.  This species is noted for its structural characteristics that make it generally preferable to other softwoods and hardwoods for the production of construction grade lumber and plywood.   The price realized on Douglas-fir logs decreased 3% for the current quarter versus the preceding quarter of 2007, and decreased 6% from the comparable quarter in 2006.  The market for Douglas-fir logs has progressively weakened during 2007 due to the decline in domestic housing starts.  On a year-to-date basis Douglas-fir prices fell 7% when compared to the prior year.

Whitewood: “Whitewood” is a term used to describe several softwood species, but for us primarily refers to western hemlock.  Though generally considered to be of a lower quality than Douglas-fir, these logs are also used for manufacturing construction grade lumber and plywood.  The average price realized on whitewood decreased 6% for the current quarter in 2007 versus the preceding quarter of 2007, and 3% from the comparable quarter in 2006.  The strong market for export quality whitewood sawlogs we were able to capitalize on in the first quarter of 2007 weakened as 2007 progressed.

Cedar: Cedar prices remained virtually the same in the current quarter versus the preceding quarter of 2007 and increased 7% from the comparable quarter in prior year.  Cedar prices typically weaken in the winter months as demand declines, largely because cedar lumber is used primarily as fencing and siding material. Peak demand for this product is in the summer months, with corresponding lower demand and log prices at the beginning and end of the calendar year.  On a year-to-date basis, our realized cedar price has increased 26% from the prior year. The strong price realized in both the current quarter and for the first nine months of 2007 reflects a general decline in cedar volume available in the Puget Sound area.  Notwithstanding these favorable price trends for cedar, the small amount of cedar in our sales mix produces only a slight impact on overall revenue and earnings.

Hardwood: “Hardwood” can refer to many different species, but on our tree farms primarily represents red alder and, to a lesser extent, big leaf maple.  The price realized from the sale of red alder sawlogs has increased steadily over the last couple years as new red alder mills have opened to take advantage of strong lumber pricing attributable to the growing acceptance of solid sawn red alder lumber products.  These mills manufacture lumber for use in furniture construction.  Hardwood log prices increased 2% in the current quarter relative to the preceding quarter of 2007 and increased 41% relative to the third quarter of 2006.  This increase from prior year is due to an increase in the quality of hardwood logs sold in the current year.

Pulp:  Pulp refers to a lower quality log of any species that is manufactured into wood chips.  These chips are used to manufacture many products including kraft linerboard for bag and cardboard box production and to a lesser extent bleached pulp for paper production.  The price realized from the sale of pulp logs is primarily driven by local wood chip inventories.  Pulp log prices in the current quarter decreased 11% from the preceding quarter of 2007, but increased by 26% from the comparable period in prior year.  On a year-to-date basis pulp prices are up 52% over the level realized during the first nine months of 2006. The increases in pulp log prices result from a decline in sawmill production.  Strong log prices combined with a weakening market for lumber has resulted in an increase in sawmill downtime which has in turn reduced the supply of wood chips available to the Puget Sound market.

Customers
The table below categorizes logs sold by customer type for the quarters ended September 30, 2007, June 30, 2007 and September 30, 2006 and for the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2007 and 2006:
 
15

 
   
Q3 2007
   
Q2 2007
   
Q3 2006
 
Destination
 
Volume*
   
Price^
   
Volume*
   
Price^
   
Volume*
   
Price^
 
Domestic mills
   
11.9
    $
678
     
18.6
    $
656
     
9.9
    $
663
 
Export brokers
   
0.2
     
523
     
1.8
     
612
     
0.8
     
708
 
Pulp
   
3.1
     
353
     
2.2
     
398
     
1.4
     
281
 
Total
   
15.2
    $
611
     
22.6
    $
626
     
12.1
    $
623
 
* Volume in MMBF
                                         
^ Price per MBF
                                         
 
 
   
Nine Months Ended
 
   
30-Sep-07
         
30-Sep-06
       
Destination
 
Volume*
   
Price^
   
Volume*
   
Price^
 
Domestic mills
   
38.2
    $
652
     
41.5
    $
657
 
Export brokers
   
2.4
     
616
     
2.9
     
702
 
Pulp
   
7.3
     
397
     
6.4
     
261
 
Total
   
47.9
    $
611
     
50.8
    $
610
 
* Volume in MMBF
                         
^ Price per MBF
                         
 
Over the last several years, a strong domestic market for high-quality “peeler” logs used for producing a range of products requiring veneer components has emerged that has shifted log volume away from an already diminished export market.  Volume sold to domestic lumber mills represents 78% of volume sold in the third quarter of 2007, versus 82% for both the second quarter of 2007 and the third quarter of 2006. The decrease in the proportion of log volume sold to domestic mills in the third quarter of 2007 is due to an increase in proportion of volume sold to pulp mills. We adjusted our harvest schedule during the third quarter of 2007 to take advantage of the relatively strong market for pulp logs

Cost of Sales
 
Cost of sales for the Fee Timber segment consists of harvest and haul costs and depletion expense.  Harvest and haul costs represent the direct cost incurred to convert standing timber into logs and deliver those logs to their point of sale.  Depletion expense represents the estimated cost of acquiring and growing the harvested timber. The applicable depletion rate is derived by dividing the aggregate cost of timber and capitalized road expenditures by the estimated volume of merchantable timber available for harvest at the beginning of that year.  The depletion rate is then applied to the volume harvested in a given period to calculate depletion expense for that period.  Fee Timber cost of sales for the quarters ended September 30, 2007, June 30, 2007, and September 30, 2006 and the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 are as follows:
 
                
 
($ Million)
Quarter Ended:
 
Harvest,
Haul and Other
   
Depletion
   
Total Cost of Sales
   
Harvest volume (MMBF)
 
 
September 30, 2007
   
3.2
     
1.4
     
4.6
     
15.2
 
 
June 30, 2007
   
4.3
     
2.0
     
6.3
     
22.6
 
 
September 30, 2006
   
2.3
     
1.1
     
3.4
     
12.1
 
 
 
                
 
($Million)
Nine months Ended:
 
Harvest,
Haul and Other
   
Depletion
   
Total Cost of Sales
   
Harvest volume (MMBF)
 
 
September 30, 2007
   
9.5
     
4.2
     
13.7
     
47.9
 
 
September 30, 2006
   
9.4
     
5.8
     
15.2
     
50.8
 
 
16

 
             
 
Per MBF
Quarter Ended:
 
Harvest,
Haul and Other
   
Depletion
   
Total Cost of Sales
 
 
September 30, 2007
  $
210
    $
94
    $
304
 
 
June 30, 2007
   
188
     
90
     
278
 
 
September 30, 2006
   
194
     
87
     
281
 
 
             
 
Per MBF
Nine Months Ended:
 
Harvest,
Haul and Other
   
Depletion
   
Total Cost of Sales
 
 
September 30, 2007
  $
199
    $
87
    $
286
 
 
September 30, 2006
   
186
     
113
     
299
 
 
Cost of sales decreased in the third quarter of 2007 versus the second quarter of 2007 due primarily to a reduction in harvest volume, and increased versus the comparable period in the prior year due to higher harvest volume.  Unit costs increased between the third and second quarters of 2007, due to higher harvest and haul cash costs together with a higher depletion rate due to the impact of harvest volume from the Fund’s timberlands where a separate depletion cost pool applies.  On a year-to-date basis, unit costs of $286 per MBF were lower than 2006 due to a lower depletion rate partially offset by higher harvest and haul costs.  The depletion rate in 2006 was impacted by harvest volume from timberland acquired during the fourth quarter of 2004 that had a separate depletion cost pool with a significantly higher depletion rate.
 
Depletion expense for the quarters ended September 30, 2007, June 30, 2007, and September 30, 2006 was calculated as follows:
 
     
Quarter ended September 30, 2007
 
     
Pooled
   
Separate
   
Combined
 
 
Volume harvested (MBF)
   
12,917
     
2,310
     
15,227
 
 
Rate/MBF
  $
70
    $
226
    $
94
 
 
Depletion expense ($ 000)
  $
908
    $
522
    $
1,430
 
                           
     
Quarter ended June 30, 2007
 
     
Pooled
   
Separate
   
Combined
 
 
Volume harvested (MBF)
   
20,072
     
2,535
     
22,607
 
 
Rate/MBF
  $
70
    $
247
    $
90
 
 
Depletion expense ($ 000)
  $
1,411
    $
627
    $
2,038
 
                           
     
Quarter ended September 30, 2006
 
     
Pooled
   
Separate
   
Combined
 
 
Volume harvested (MBF)
   
11,474
     
673
     
12,147
 
 
Rate/MBF
  $
69
    $
397
    $
87
 
 
Depletion expense ($ 000)
  $
791
    $
267
    $
1,058
 
                           
                           
 
17

 
     
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2007
 
     
Pooled
   
Separate
   
Combined
 
 
Volume harvested (MBF)
   
43,000
     
4,875
     
47,875
 
 
Rate/MBF
  $
70
    $
237
    $
87
 
 
Depletion expense ($ 000)
  $
3,023
    $
1,156
    $
4,179
 
                           
     
Nine Months Ended September 30, 2006
 
     
Pooled
   
Separate
   
Combined
 
 
Volume harvested (MBF)
   
43,979
     
6,851
     
50,830
 
 
Rate/MBF
  $
69
    $
397
    $
113
 
 
Depletion expense ($ 000)
  $
3,033
    $
2,717
    $
5,750
 
 
The separate depletion pool for 2007 harvest volume represents harvest from timberlands owned by the Fund.  The separate depletion pool used for 2006 was attributable to a separate depletion pool created for a fourth quarter of 2004 timberland acquisition.  These separate depletion pools carry higher depletion rates than our combined pool as they include timber volume and associated cost of more recently acquired timber.
 
Operating Expenses
 
Fee Timber operating expenses were $1.3 million, $1.0 million, and $1.1 million for the quarters ended September 30, 2007, June 30, 2007, and September 30, 2006, respectively. Operating expenses for the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2007 and September 30, 2006 were $3.4 and $3.3 million, respectively.  Operating expenses include management, silviculture and the cost of both maintaining existing roads and building temporary roads required for harvest activities.
 
Timberland Management & Consulting
 
Revenue and operating income for the Timberland Management & Consulting segment for the quarters and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 were as follows:
 
          
 
($ Million)
Quarter Ended:
 
Revenue
   
Operating Income/(Loss)
 
 
September 30, 2007
  $
0.4
    $
(0.2)
 
 
September 30, 2006
   
0.6
     
-
 
 
          
 
($ Million)
Nine Months Ended:
 
Revenue
   
Operating Income/(Loss)
 
 
September 30, 2007
  $
1.1
    $
(0.5)
 
 
September 30, 2006
   
3.1
    $
1.4
 
 
The segment posted revenue of $366,000 and an operating loss of $244,000 for the quarter ended September 30, 2007, which represents respective $212,000 and $277,000 declines from the comparable period in 2006.  The decreases in both revenue and operating income are due to a reduction in rate for acres under management, coupled with lower third-party consulting revenues.  On a year-to-date basis, revenue and operating income declined $2.0 million and $1.9 million, respectively, between 2006 and 2007.  This decline is also due to a reduction in rate for acres under management for our primary timberland management client, and a disposition fee earned in the first quarter of 2006 that did not recur in 2007.
 
The capital commitment for ORM Timber Fund I, LP expired on August 1, 2007.  We placed $58.5 million of the $61.8 million commitment.  Pope Resources’ capital co-investment in this fund totaled $11.7 million, or 20% of the Fund.  We are now organizing our second timber fund that we expect will total $100 million of equity capital, with our co-investment commitment at the same 20% level as in the first fund. As with the first fund, we will not be required to contribute the majority of this capital until suitable timber properties are identified and acquired.
 
18

 
Operating Expenses
 
Timberland Management & Consulting operating expenses for the quarters ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 were $610,000 and $545,000, respectively.  The increase in operating expenses for the quarter ended September 30, 2007 relative to the comparable period in the prior year is due to costs incurred to organize ORM Timber Fund II.  Operating expenses for the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 were $1.6 million and $1.8 million, respectively.  The decrease in operating expenses is attributable to the reduction in expenses associated with our third-party consulting operation and a reduction in operating expenses associated with the Fund.
 
Real Estate
 
The Partnership’s Real Estate segment consists primarily of revenue from the sale of land together with residential and commercial property rents. The Partnership’s real estate holdings are located primarily in Pierce, Kitsap, and Jefferson Counties in Washington State.
 
Revenue and operating income for the Real Estate segment for the quarter and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 were as follows:
 
          
 
($ Million)
Quarter Ended:
 
Revenue
   
Operating Income
 
 
September 30, 2007
  $
2.0
    $
0.5
 
 
September 30, 2006
   
9.3
     
5.7
 
 
 
          
 
($ Million)
Nine Months Ended:
 
Revenue
   
Operating Income/(Loss)
 
 
September 30, 2007
  $
2.6
    $
(0.5)
 
 
September 30, 2006
   
14.3
     
5.9
 
 
Real Estate revenue is generated through the sale of land and rural residential lots, and to a lesser extent from real property rents, most of which are earned at the Port Gamble townsite.  Leases of cellular tower sites and gravel and other mineral rights on our timberlands are accounted for in the Fee Timber segment.  Raw land sales are generally made for something other than residential or commercial use and are normally completed with very little capital investment prior to sale.  Rural residential and commercial use properties normally involve capital improvements for zoning, road building, or utility access improvements prior to completing the sale.

Real Estate revenue for the quarter and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 consist of the following:
 
19

 
For the three months ended:
                             
Description
 
Revenue
   
Gross Margin
   
Acres Sold
   
Revenue/Acre
   
Gross Margin/ Acre
 
September 30, 2007
                             
Rural Residential
  $
350,000
    $
287,000
     
33
    $
10,606
    $
8,697
 
Commercial/business park
  $
230,000
    $
166,000
     
1
    $
230,000
    $
166,000
 
Revenue recognized on % complete for 2006 closings
                                 
     complete for 2006 closings
  $
1,084,000
    $
668,000
   
NA
   
NA
   
NA
 
Rentals
   
293,000
     
293,000
   
NA
   
NA
   
NA
 
Other
   
12,000
     
12,000
   
NA
   
NA
   
NA
 
September 30, 2007 Total
  $
1,969,000
    $
1,426,000
     
34
    $
17,059
    $
13,324
 
                                         
                                         
September 30, 2006
                                       
Rural Residential
  $
428,000
    $
216,000
     
33
    $
12,970
    $
6,545
 
Commercial/business park
   
7,222,000
     
5,049,000
     
18
     
401,222
     
280,500
 
Raw land sale
   
1,400,000
     
1,003,000
     
401
     
3,491
     
2,501
 
Rentals
   
282,000
     
282,000
   
NA
   
NA
   
NA
 
September 30, 2006 Total
  $
9,332,000
    $
6,550,000
     
452
    $
20,022
    $
13,867
 
 
 

 
For the nine months ended:
                             
Description
 
Revenue
   
Gross Margin
   
Acres Sold
   
Revenue/Acre
   
Gross Margin/ Acre
 
September 30, 2007
                             
Rural Residential
  $
473,162
    $
389,000
     
45
    $
10,515
    $
8,644
 
Commercial/business park
  $
230,000
    $
166,000
     
1
    $
230,000
    $
166,000
 
Revenue recognized on % complete for 2006 closings
                                 
     complete for 2006 closings
  $
1,097,000
    $
649,000
   
NA
   
NA
   
NA
 
Rentals
  $
754,000
    $
754,000
   
NA
   
NA
   
NA
 
Other
   
14,000
     
14,000
   
NA
   
NA
   
NA
 
September 30, 2007 Total
  $
2,568,162
    $
1,972,000
     
46
    $
15,286
    $
12,065
 
                                         
                                         
September 30, 2006
                                       
Rural Residential
  $
1,463,000
    $
1,044,000
     
282
    $
5,188
    $
3,702
 
Commercial/business park
   
10,649,000
     
5,623,000
     
37
     
287,811
     
151,973
 
Raw land sale
   
1,400,000
     
1,003,000
     
401
     
3,491
     
2,501
 
Rentals
   
760,000
     
760,000
   
NA
   
NA
   
NA
 
Other
   
12,000
     
11,000
   
NA
   
NA
   
NA
 
September 30, 2006 Total
  $
14,284,000
    $
8,441,000
     
720
    $
18,767
    $
10,653
 
 
Revenue and operating income for the Real Estate segment were lower in the third quarter of 2007 compared to third quarter 2006 due to a reduction in land sales.  We are projecting a significant decrease in revenue from land sales in 2007 relative to 2006.  We do, however, expect to recognize over $8.5 million of revenue in 2007 due to the recognition of deferred revenue on two 2006 transactions.  Our Real Estate segment had several large transactions in 2006 that are not expected to recur in 2007. This is consistent with our expected future performance in the Real Estate segment: we will experience periods where we recognize limited or no revenues, even during periods when we incur expenses, and will from time to time record relatively large amounts of revenue upon sales of property or, where appropriate, when all contingencies and closing conditions have been satisfied or waived.
 
At our property in Gig Harbor, Washington, we closed on the sale of nearly 6 acres of retail pad sites to Northwest Capital Investors (“NCI”) in late 2006.  Our agreement with NCI includes a rescission clause that can be exercised by NCI if we do not complete the installation of utilities and grading.  As a result of this rescission clause, all of the revenue on the transaction was deferred in 2006.  We will complete most of this work in 2007 and expect NCI’s rescission clause will be waived. As such, we anticipate recognizing almost all of the $7.2 million of revenue with gross profit of approximately $3.8 million in the fourth quarter of 2007. During the quarter ended September 30, 2007, we recognized $1.1 million of revenue with an estimated gross profit of $668,000 related to the Bremerton residential plat sale that also closed in late 2006. This revenue is being recognized as remaining commitments to install a storm water system and other infrastructure are completed.  At September 30, 2007, we have deferred revenue of approximately $7.5 million with an estimated gross profit of $3.9 million, which we expect to recognize during the fourth quarter of 2007.
 
20

 
Our rural residential lot program produces lots up to 80 acres in size, based on underlying zoning densities. This type of program typically entails an entitlement effort more modest in scale, usually involving simple lot segregations and boundary line adjustments.  Development activities include minor road building, surveying, and the extension of utilities.  We have a target of selling 150 to 300 acres annually from this program but we have exceeded that target range for the last few years as a result of a strong market for this type of land in our marketplace.  We expect rural residential sales for the full year 2007 to total less than 50 acres due to softening in our local markets for rural residential land
 
Cost of Sales
 
Real Estate cost of sales for the quarters ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 was $543,000 and $2.8 million, respectively.  On a year-to-date basis, cost of sales was $596,000 and $5.8 million for the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively.  Cost of sales in 2007 represents the cost basis in two rural residential lots sold and cost basis associated with the 2006 Bremerton residential sale.  Cost of sales in 2006 represents the cost basis of the Nisqually Land Trust, Costco Wholesale Corporation, YMCA and Poulsbo land sales as well as six rural residential land sales.
 
Operating Expenses
 
Real Estate operating expenses for the quarters ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 were $886,000 and $882,000, respectively.  For the nine-month periods ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 operating expenses were consistent at $2.5 million. These expenses represent primarily personnel costs and professional service fees incurred to pursue entitlements for  real estate projects and routine maintenance costs for the Port Gamble townsite.
 
Environmental Remediation
 
The Partnership has accrued liabilities for environmental cleanup of $164,000 and $242,000 as of September 30, 2007 and December 31, 2006, respectively. This accrual represents our estimated share of the liability for environmental clean up activities in and around the Port Gamble townsite following a negotiated settlement with Pope & Talbot, Inc. (“P&T”) in 2002.  Current activities at the site include monitoring to determine if prior clean up activities were effective.  Activity in the environmental remediation liability is detailed as follows:
 
   
Balances at Beginning of Period
   
Additions to Accrual
   
Expenditures for Monitoring and Remediation
   
Balances at End of Period
   
Year Ended December 31, 2006
  $
158,000
    $
260,000
    $
176,000
    $
242,000
 
Quarter ended March 31, 2007
   
242,000
     
-
     
11,000
     
231,000
 
Quarter ended June 30, 2007
   
231,000
     
-
     
36,000
     
195,000
 
Quarter ended September 30, 2007
   
195,000
     
-
     
31,000
     
164,000
 
 
The environmental remediation liability on the Partnership’s books is based upon an estimate of the Partnership’s agreed upon portion of the cleanup costs.  While the majority of the Partnership’s portion of the cleanup efforts is complete, there remains the possibility that the remaining remediation or monitoring activities may exceed estimates, resulting in an additional environmental remediation charge.   The clean up activities at this site have been shared with Pope & Talbot, Inc. under a contribution agreement.  On August 6, 2007 P&T announced that it had entered into a forbearance agreement with its senior lenders. Following this announcement and subsequent to the period covered by this report, on October 28, 2007 P&T filed a petition under Canadian bankruptcy laws seeking protection from creditors in connection with restructuring the business. P&T has announced that it intends to continue limited operations during its insolvency proceedings but has given no assurance when or if it will exit bankruptcy or whether it will be able to satisfy its unsecured obligations. Based on these and similar announcements management believes there is a possibility that all or some portion of Pope & Talbot’s liability under the contribution agreement will not be fulfilled and could have a material impact on our estimated liability. Were P&T to fail to satisfy its cleanup obligations, the Partnership may be liable for some or all of P&T’s share of remediation costs. Management does not currently have enough information to estimate the certainty or the amount of any such liability. However, prior to seeking protection from its creditors P&T had publicly reported a $1.2 million liability accrual for environmental cleanup costs related to Port Gamble.
 
21

 
General and Administrative (G&A)
 
G&A expenses for the quarters ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 were $957,000 and $861,000, respectively. For the nine months ended September 30, 2007 and 2006 G&A expenses were $3.7 million and $2.8 million, respectively.  The increase in G&A expenses in 2007 is due primarily to professional service fees incurred to evaluate capital structuring alternatives with management and the Board of Directors of the General Partner.  This work has been completed.  G&A expenses for the remainder of 2007 are not expected to vary significantly from G&A expenses incurred during the same period of 2006.
 
Interest Income and Expense
 
Interest income for the quarter ended September 30, 2007 increased to $453,000 from $334,000 for the corresponding period of 2006.  On a year-to-date basis, interest income increased to $1.3 million from $805,000 for the corresponding period in 2006.  The increase in interest income is due to higher cash and short-term investments balances.
 
Interest expense prior to the reduction for capitalized interest declined from $667,000 for the three-month period ended September 30, 2006 to $637,000 for the comparable period in 2007. Capitalized interest for the three-month periods ended September 30, increased from $218,000 in 2006 to $294,000 in 2007.  On a year-to-date basis, interest expense prior to the reduction for capitalized interest decreased to $1.9 million from $2.0 million for the corresponding period in 2006. Capitalized interest for the nine months ended September 30 increased from $580,000 in 2006 to $812,000 in 2007.  The decrease in interest expense is attributable to regularly scheduled annual principal payments due on our timberland mortgage while the increase in capitalized interest expense relates to the increase in basis on land projects that are currently under development.  The Partnership’s debt consists primarily of mortgage debt with a fixed interest rate.
 
Income Tax
 
Pope Resources is a limited partnership and is, therefore, not subject to federal income tax. Taxable income/loss is reported to unitholders each year on a Form K-1 for inclusion in each unitholder’s tax return. Pope Resources does have corporate subsidiaries, however, that are subject to income tax.
 
For the quarter ended September 30, 2007 the Partnership recorded tax expense of $5,000, as compared to tax expense of $16,000 for the corresponding period in 2006.  On a year-to-date basis, income tax expense was $22,000 and $453,000 for the periods ended September 30, 2007 and 2006, respectively.  The decline in income tax expense on a year-to-date basis is due to income tax expenses incurred in the first quarter of 2006 in connection with receipt of an asset disposition fee that did not recur in 2007.
 
22

 
Minority Interest - IPMB
 
“Minority interest – IPMB” represents that share of income earned from the Investor Portfolio Management Business (IPMB) attributable to Pope MGP, Inc., the managing general partner of the Partnership.  The amendment to the Limited Partnership Agreement authorizing the Partnership to pursue the IPMB further specifies that income from the IPMB will be split using a sliding scale allocation method beginning at 80% to the Partnership’s wholly-owned subsidiary, ORM, Inc., and 20% to Pope MGP, Inc. The sliding scale allocation method evenly divides IPMB income between ORM, Inc. and Pope MGP, Inc. once such income reaches $7,000,000 in a given fiscal year.
 
Current activities of the IPMB are contained in the Timberland Management & Consulting segment, which includes timberland consulting, management, and expenses associated with the launch of our second private equity timber fund.  The minority interest-IPMB allocation of income in the third quarter of 2007 was zero and was a benefit of $7,000 in the comparable quarter in 2006. For the nine-months ended September 30, 2007 the minority interest-IPMB was zero and was an expense of $112,000 in the comparable prior year period.  Minority interest-IPMB allocation in 2007 reflects the reduction in the per-acre management fee rate for our primary timberland management client, and expenses associated with launching our second timber fund. In 2006 the benefit resulted from losses incurred in these businesses as we adjusted to a reduction in acres under management.
 
Minority Interest-ORM Timber Fund I, LP
 
“Minority Interest-ORM Timber Fund I, LP” represents that portion of the Fund’s income or loss attributed to the 80% of the Fund owned by third-party investors.  The increase in this amount in both the third quarter and first nine months of 2007 from the comparable periods in prior year is due to the increase in operating activities of the Fund given its acquisition of timberland in late 2006.
 
Off Balance Sheet Arrangements
 
We do not have any off balance sheet arrangements.
 
23

 
Liquidity and Capital Resources
 
We ordinarily finance our business activities using funds from operations and, where appropriate in management’s assessment, bank lines of credit. Funds generated internally from operations and externally through financing are expected to provide the required resources for the Partnership's future capital expenditures. The Partnership’s debt-to-total-capitalization ratio as measured by the book value of equity was 25% at September 30, 2007 versus 27% as of December 31, 2006.  The Partnership’s debt consists primarily of a timberland mortgage with a fixed amortization schedule and loan term, which includes a prepayment penalty.  We currently operate without an operating line of credit due to the cash we hold in excess of our current operating needs.  We will continue to monitor and forecast our expected cash requirements and may re-establish a line of credit if a need for additional liquidity should arise.
 
Over the remaining three months of 2007, management plans to harvest approximately 7 MMBF of timber, 6 MMBF of which will come from the Hood Canal and Columbia tree farms and 1 MMBF from the Fund’s tree farms, for a total fiscal 2007 harvest of 55 MMBF. Since harvest plans are based on demand and pricing, actual harvesting may vary subject to management's ongoing review.
 
For the nine months ended September 30, 2007, overall cash and cash equivalents decreased $3.3 million versus an increase of $302,000 for the corresponding period in the prior year.  Cash generated by operating activities was $12.0 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 versus $28.5 million of cash generated by operating activities for the corresponding period in 2006.  The decrease in cash generated by operating activities primarily results from a decrease in timber volume harvested and a decrease in Real Estate sales.
 
Cash used for investing activities decreased to $9.4 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2007 from $23.0 million for the corresponding period in 2006.  The change in cash used in investing activities is primarily the result of a decrease in cash from investing in auction rate securities combined with a decrease in capital expenditures at our project in Gig Harbor.  Capital expenditures of $7.4 million in the first nine months of 2007 included the following: $1.6 million for a development property acquisition adjacent to the Port Gamble townsite; development expenditures of $961,000 related to the Gig Harbor project; $1.8 million related to our project in Bremerton; capitalized interest of $812,000; $636,000 of other capitalized development costs; reforestation and roads costs of $699,000, vehicle replacement costs of $217,000, capitalized improvement costs at the Port Gamble townsite of $247,000, and $441,000 for various other building and equipment items
 
Investing activities in 2006 consisted of the purchase of $14.0 million of auction rate securities and $9.0 million of capital expenditures.  Year-to-date capital expenditures in 2006 consisted of the following: $5.6 million of capitalized development costs at the Gig Harbor site; $580,000 of interest capitalized to the Gig Harbor project, $1.1 million of capitalized development costs at the  Bremerton project, $513,000 of capitalized development costs on the Partnership’s other development properties; $667,000 of reforestation and road building costs on the owned timberlands; $328,000 of capital improvements at the Port Gamble townsite; and $133,000 of other miscellaneous capital expenditures.
 
Seasonality
 
Fee Timber. The Partnership owns 114,000 acres of timberland in Washington State. Our timber acreage is concentrated in two non-contiguous tree farms: the 70,000-acre Hood Canal tree farm located in Kitsap, Jefferson, and Mason Counties on the eastern side of Washington’s Olympic Peninsula, and the 44,000-acre Columbia tree farm located in Cowlitz, Clark, Lewis, Skamania, and Pierce counties on the western side of Washington’s Cascade mountain range.   The Fund owns 24,000 acres of timberland, two-thirds of which is in eastern King County with the remainder in Lewis County.
 
24

 
The Hood Canal tree farm is concentrated at low elevations, which permits us to harvest trees year-round. Generally, we concentrate our harvests from this tree farm in the winter and spring when supply, and thus competition, is typically lower and, accordingly, when we can expect to receive higher prices. However, in late 2006, log prices softened as lumber prices declined on news of the slowdown in residential real estate sales.  As a result, in 2007, we moderated the front loading of our 2007 harvest.
 
With the acquisition of the Columbia tree farm in 2001, management expected a decrease in the seasonality of Fee Timber operations as the Columbia tree farm is at higher elevations where harvest activities are generally possible only in the late spring and summer months. In practice, over the last several years our harvest has tended to be more front-loaded, as log prices have been relatively strong in the first half of the year coupled with mild winter weather and low snowpack enabling management to front-load the harvest plan. As noted above this trend has been broken in 2007.  The timberlands owned by the Fund are at elevations  similar to the Columbia tree farm.  In future periods, management expects quarterly harvest volume to be affected by both local market conditions for logs and weather conditions.
 
Timberland Management & Consulting. In broad terms, Timberland Management & Consulting operations are not currently seasonal.  Our timberland consulting operations at McCloud, California are, however, concentrated primarily in the summer months.
 
Real Estate. While Real Estate results are not expected to be seasonal, the nature of the activities in this segment will likely result in periodic large transactions that will have significant positive impacts on both revenue and operating income of the Partnership in periods in which these transactions close, and relatively limited revenue and income in other periods. While the “lumpiness” of these results is not primarily a function of seasonal weather patterns, we do expect to see some seasonal fluctuations in this segment because of the general effects of weather on Pacific Northwest development activities.
 
Capital Expenditures and Commitments
 
We are currently seeking capital commitments from certain institutional investors for ORM Timber Fund II (“Fund II”).  Our current plans for this second fund are to raise $100 million of equity capital, with Pope Resources investing 20% of this amount, or $20 million.   The majority of this capital will not be called until Fund II has located suitable timber properties to acquire.  Meanwhile, the outstanding commitment for ORM Timber Fund I, LP of $642,000 expired unused on August 1, 2007 following a deployment of $58.5 million, including the Partnership’s investment of $11.7 million.
 
Total capital expenditures in 2007 are expected to approximate $9.4 million, of which $7.4 million has been expended through September 30, 2007.  The anticipated capital expenditures for the balance of 2007 include $1.0 million related to the Real Estate project at Gig Harbor, Washington, of which $350,000 pertains to capitalized interest, and $800,000 for the Bremerton West Hills property, of which $60,000 pertains to capitalized interest.  Remaining planned capital expenditures are related to various property development projects, capitalized reforestation costs, and capital improvements at the Port Gamble townsite.  The Partnership expects that the source of capital for these expenditures will be primarily funds generated internally through operations supplemented by external financing as necessary.
 
25

 
ACCOUNTING MATTERS
 
Critical Accounting Policies and Estimates
 
Management believes its most critical accounting policies and estimates relate to management’s calculation of timber depletion and liabilities for matters such as environmental remediation, and potential asset impairments.   In relation to liabilities, potential impairments and other estimated charges, it is management’s policy to conduct ongoing reviews of significant accounting policies and assumptions used in the preparation of the financial results of the Partnership. The assumptions used are tested against available and relevant information and reviewed with subject-matter experts for consistency and reliability. During the preparation of financial results, tests are conducted to ascertain that the net book carrying values of assets are not in excess of estimated future cash flows.  These tests use current market information, if available, or other generally accepted valuation methods, such as future cash flows. When the use of estimates is necessary, an exact answer is unlikely, and therefore, the reporting within a range of likely outcomes is used in the preparation of the financial statements. Tests are also applied in order to be reasonably assured that liabilities are properly reflected on the records of the Partnership and that the notes to the financial statements are prepared in a fashion that informs readers of possible outcomes and risks associated with the conduct of business.

Consolidation of ORM Timber Fund I, LP (the Fund):  The Fund is owned 19% by Pope Resources, A Delaware Limited Partnership, 1% by Olympic Resource Management LLC and 80% by third-party investors.  Olympic Resource Management LLC is the general partner of the Fund and earns management fees for managing the Fund and its properties.  Transactions between the Fund and Pope Resources and its subsidiaries are eliminated in consolidation. The portion of loss attributed to the 80% of the Fund not owned by us is reported as Minority Interest-ORM Timber Fund I, LP.

Purchased Timberlands Allocation:  When the Partnership acquires timberlands, a purchase price allocation is performed that allocates the acquisition cost between the categories of merchantable timber, premerchantable timber, and land based upon the relative fair values pertaining to each of the categories.  When timberland is acquired the land is evaluated for current value.  To the extent the land has value under current market conditions as something other than timberland, generally referred to as HBU (or “higher-and-better-use”), we assign a value greater than that typically associated with timberland.

Depletion-Cost Pools: Depletion represents the cost of timber harvested and is charged to operations by applying a depletion rate to volume harvested during the period.  The depletion rate is calculated in January each year by dividing the Partnership’s cost of merchantable timber by the volume of merchantable timber.  Merchantable timber is defined as timber that is equal to or greater than 40 years of age.

To calculate the depletion rate, the Partnership combines all properties with similar characteristics and uses one depletion rate for all volume harvested from that timberland cost pool.  Each timberland acquisition is evaluated for consistency with the already established timberland portfolio using the following five characteristics:

 
1.
Management-Will the acquisition be managed as part of the existing cost pool?
 
2.
Location-Is the tree farm in the same geography as the existing timberland cost pool?
 
3.
Products-Will the products harvested from the acquisition be substantially similar to those harvested from the existing cost pool?
 
4.
Customers/Markets-Will the harvest from the acquisition be sold to the same customers/markets as logs harvested from the existing cost pool?
 
5.
Stocking-Are the acres in the acquisition of a similar age class distribution to the existing cost pool?  (If the premerchantable timberland acres in the acquisition are less than 50% of total acres, stocking on the acquisition will be deemed sufficiently different and strongly indicate that a separate pool is appropriate.)
 
 
26

 
Depletion-Estimated Volume:  Inventory volumes take into account the applicable state and federal regulatory limits on timber harvests as applied to the Partnership’s properties, including the Forests and Fish law that supplements Washington State’s forest practice regulations to provide for expanded riparian management zones, wildlife leave trees, and other harvest restrictions.  Timber inventory volume is tracked by the Partnership's standing timber inventory system, which utilizes annual statistical sampling of the timber (cruising) with annual adjustments made for estimated growth and the depletion of areas harvested.

The standing inventory system is subject to two processes each year to monitor accuracy.  The first is the annual cruise process and the second is a comparison of (a) volume actually extracted by harvest, to (b) inventory for the corresponding stands of harvested timber in the standing inventory system at the time of the harvest.  A “cruise” represents a physical measurement of timber on a specific set of acres.  The cruise process is completed when the physical measurement totals are compared to the inventory in the standing inventory system.  The standing inventory system is then updated for the results of the cruise.  Only productive acres with timber that is at least 20 years old are selected to cruise.  We plan to cruise 20% of such acres in 2007 and each year thereafter.  Specific acres are first selected for cruising with a bias towards those acres that have gone the longest without a cruise and, second, with a bias towards those acres that have been growing the longest.  As the cruise is being performed, only those trees with a breast-height diameter (approximately 4.5 feet from the ground) of at least 6 inches are measured for inclusion in the inventory.

Environmental Remediation:  The environmental remediation liability represents estimated payments to be made to monitor (and remedy if necessary) certain areas in and around the townsite and millsite of Port Gamble, Washington.  Port Gamble is a historic town that was owned and operated by Pope & Talbot, Inc. (“P&T”) until 1985 when the townsite and other assets were spun off to the Partnership.  P&T continued to operate the townsite until 1996 and leased the millsite at Port Gamble through January 2002, at which point P&T signed an agreement with the Partnership dividing the responsibility for environmental remediation of Port Gamble between the two parties.

The environmental remediation liability on the Partnership’s books is based upon an estimate of the Partnership’s portion of the clean-up costs under this agreement with P&T.  While the majority of the Partnership’s portion of the clean up efforts is complete, there remains the possibility that the remaining remediation or monitoring activities may exceed estimates, both because of variations in the projected overall costs and because of the possibility that P&T’s current financial condition may render P&T unable to satisfy all or a portion of its remaining obligations. As mentioned above,  and subsequent to the period covered by this report, on October 28, 2007 P&T filed a petition under Canadian bankruptcy laws seeking protection from creditors in connection with restructuring the business. P&T has announced that it intends to continue limited operations during its insolvency proceedings but has given no assurance when or if it will exit bankruptcy or whether it will be able to satisfy its unsecured obligations. These factors may result in the Partnership recording additional environmental remediation costs or reserves.  Management will continue to monitor the remaining liability against estimates to complete to determine if an adjustment to the environmental remediation liability is necessary to accurately represent management’s estimate of remaining cost to complete the project.
 
27

 
Property Development Costs:  The Partnership is developing several master planned communities with the Gig Harbor and Bremerton projects the most notable currently.  Costs of development, including interest, are capitalized for these projects and allocated to individual lots based upon their relative preconstruction value.  This allocation of basis supports, in turn, the computation of those amounts reported as a current vs. long-term asset (“Land Held for Sale” and “Land Held for Development”, respectively). As lot sales occur, the allocation of these costs becomes part of cost of sales attributed to individual lot sales.  Costs associated with land including acquisition, project design, architectural costs, road construction, and utility installation are accounted for as investment activities (as opposed to an operating activity) on our statement of cash flows.  These investments are often made for a number of years prior to the realization of revenue from the disposition of these properties.  Cash generated from the sale of these properties is classified as an operating activity on our cash flow statement as the sale of these properties is the main operating activity of our Real Estate segment.

Percentage of Completion Revenue Recognition: The Partnership accounts for revenue recognized from development sales consistent with Statement of Financial Accounting Standards No. 66 Accounting for Sales of Real Estate.    When a real estate transaction is closed with significant outstanding obligations to complete infrastructure or other construction, revenue is recognized on a percentage of completion method by calculating a ratio of costs incurred to total costs expected.  Revenue is deferred by the ratio of remaining costs to complete.  As a result of this accounting, at September 30, 2007, the Partnership has deferred $231,000 of revenue related to the Bremerton West Hills closing.  An additional $7.2 million of revenue related to the Gig Harbor retail pad closing has been deferred due to a rescission clause in the purchase and sale agreement that can be exercised by the buyer if we do not complete certain infrastructure improvements.
 
ITEM 3. QUANTITATIVE AND QUALITATIVE DISCLOSURES ABOUT MARKET RISK
 
Interest Rate Risk
 
As of September 30, 2007, 2007, the Partnership had $30.8 million of fixed-rate debt outstanding with a fair value of approximately $32.3 million based on the current interest rates for similar financial instruments. A change in the interest rate on fixed-rate debt will affect the fair value of the debt, whereas a change in the interest rate on variable-rate debt will affect interest expense and cash flows. A hypothetical 1% change in prevailing interest rates would change the fair value of the Partnership's fixed-rate long-term debt obligations by approximately $1.0 million.
 
ITEM 4. CONTROLS AND PROCEDURES
 
The Partnership’s management maintains a system of internal controls, which management views as adequate to promote the timely identification and reporting of material, relevant information.  Those controls include (1) requiring executive management and all managers in accounting roles to sign and adhere to a Code of Conduct and (2) implementation of a confidential hotline for employees to contact the Audit Committee directly with financial reporting concerns.   Additionally, the Partnership’s senior management team meets regularly to discuss significant transactions and events affecting the Partnership’s operations.  The Partnership’s President & Chief Executive Officer and Vice President & Chief Financial Officer (“Executive Officers”) lead these meetings and consider whether topics discussed represent information that should be disclosed under generally accepted accounting principles and the rules of the SEC.   The Board of Directors of the Partnership’s general partner includes an Audit Committee.  The Audit Committee reviews the earnings release and all reports on Form 10-Q and 10-K prior to their filing. The Audit Committee is responsible for hiring the Partnership’s external auditors and meets with those auditors at least eight times each year.
 
28

 
Our Executive Officers are responsible for establishing and maintaining disclosure controls and procedures.  They have designed such controls to ensure that others make all material information known to them within the organization.  Management regularly evaluates ways to improve internal controls.

As of the end of the period covered by this quarterly report on Form 10-Q our Executive Officers completed an evaluation of the disclosure controls and procedures and have determined them to be effective.  There have been no changes to internal controls over financial reporting that materially affected, or that are reasonably likely to materially affect, our internal control over financial reporting.
 
PART II
 
ITEM 1. LEGAL PROCEEDINGS
 
From time to time, the Partnership may be subject to legal proceedings and claims that may have a material adverse impact on its business. Management is not aware of any current legal proceedings or claims that are expected to have, individually or in the aggregate, a material adverse impact on its business, prospects, financial condition or results of operations.
 
ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS
 
Our business is subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, any one or more of which could impact our operating results and financial condition materially and adversely. Some of these risks are discussed in greater detail below, arranged according to business segment. In addition, we face a number of risks that affect our business generally. We compete against much larger companies in each of our business segments. These larger competitors may have access to larger amounts of capital and significantly greater economies of scale. Land ownership carries with it the risk of incurring liabilities due to accidents that take place on the land and previously undiscovered environmental contamination. The Partnership endeavors to maintain adequate accruals to reflect the cost of remediating known environmental contamination and other liabilities resulting from land ownership.  However these estimates may prove to be inadequate as additional information is discovered. A more thorough discussion of the risks and uncertainties that may affect our business is contained in the Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2006, and in our various other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Readers should review these risks in deciding whether to invest in Partnership units, and should recognize that those factors are not an exhaustive list of risks that could cause us to deviate from management’s expectations. Readers also are cautioned that, in reviewing these risk factors, the factors contained in this report and in our other SEC filings are effective as of the date the filing was made, and we cannot undertake to update those disclosures.
 
Fee Timber
 
Fee Timber revenue is generated primarily through the sale of softwood logs to both domestic mills and third-party intermediaries that resell to the export market. The domestic market for logs in the Puget Sound region of Washington State has been impacted by imported lumber from Canada and decreased demand for lumber as engineered wood products have gained market acceptance in the U.S.  These factors have had the effect of concentrating mill ownership with larger mill operators and decreasing the number of mills operating in the Puget Sound region.  If this trend continues, decreases in local demand for logs may decrease our profitability. Recent strengthening of the Canadian dollar has decreased the volume of lumber and logs exported from Canada into the U.S.  To the extent this trend was to reverse, log supplies in the U.S. may increase, resulting in a decrease in log prices.
 
29

 
Moreover, housing construction starts domestically and abroad tend to correlate positively with the demand for timber and timber products. During periods in which housing starts decline, timber companies, including the Partnership, often experience decreases in log prices and, where such declines are protracted or severe, price declines can have a material adverse impact upon Fee Timber revenues. Among the factors currently affecting U.S. domestic housing demand are increasing interest rates and a growing economic uncertainty fueled, among other things, by a perceived increased risk in mortgage markets. These factors are expected to continue for the remainder of 2007 or longer and are likely to create further downward pressure on log prices. As a result, we expect the trend of lower log prices to continue or worsen, and if these circumstances become protracted, we may experience adverse impacts upon our Fee Timber income which may have a material adverse effect upon our results of operations.
 
Additionally, over the last few years the Partnership has seen the price of logs erode in the Japanese market as competing logs and lumber from regions outside of the U.S. and engineered wood products have gradually gained market acceptance. These export markets for Pacific Northwest logs are significantly affected by fluctuations in U.S. and Japanese economies, foreign currency exchange rate between the Japanese yen and the U.S. dollar, and finally shipping costs between the U.S. and Japan.
 
Our ability to grow and harvest timber can be significantly impacted by legislation, regulations or court rulings that restrict or stop forest practices. Restrictions on logging, planting, road building, fertilizing, managing competing vegetation and other activities can significantly increase the cost or reduce available inventory thereby reducing income.
 
Timberland Management & Consulting
 
The Timberland Management & Consulting (TM&C) segment is currently operating with one major timberland management client.  Management is working to expand our fee-for-service business in part through the launch of the timber fund business. The TM&C segment will be paid management fees from the Fee Timber segment where the Fund’s primary activities are reported.  To date we have  closed and fully invested the capital from ORM Timber Fund I, LP and we are working on obtaining capital commitments for ORM Timber Fund II, our second timber fund.  Unlike other components of our business, which relate solely or primarily to real estate and timber operations, this line of business carries risks relating to the offer and sale of securities, and to the management of investment operations, including potential liability to investors if we are determined to have made material misstatements or omissions to those investors, potential accusations that we have breached fiduciary duties to other limited partners, and similar types of investor action. Moreover, litigation of shareholder-related matters can be expensive and time consuming, and if brought, would likely distract management from their focus on ordinary operating activities.
 
Real Estate
 
The value of our real estate investments is subject to changes in the economic and regulatory environment, as well as various land use regulations and development risks, including the ability to obtain the necessary permits and zoning variances that would allow us to maximize our revenue from our real estate investments. Our real estate investments are long-term in nature, which raises the risk that unforeseen changes in the economy or laws surrounding development activities may have an adverse affect on our investments. Moreover, these investments often are highly illiquid and thus may not generate cash flow if and when needed to support our other operations.
 
30

Environmental Remediation
 
               We maintain on our balance sheet a liability reflecting our estimate of the Partnership’s liabilities for environmental remediation for the Port Gamble townsite. That liability is shared with Pope & Talbot, Inc. (“P&T”), under a contribution agreement. The contribution agreement, however, does not completely limit the Partnership’s liability for environmental damages at Port Gamble. Among other things, the Partnership may have liability for remediation costs in excess of the estimated amounts if and to the extent P&T fails to satisfy its obligations under the contribution agreement. On October 28, 2007, following the period covered by this report, P&T announced that it had commenced a proceeding to obtain protection from its creditors under Canadian bankruptcy laws while it seeks to restructure its business. P&T had previously entered into forbearance arrangements with certain of its lenders, one of the provisions of which required P&T to seek offers from others to buy P&T’s assets or equity interests. These and other announcements, including qualifications in P&T’s reported financial statements about its ability to continue as a going concern, raise substantial doubt about the firm’s solvency. These issues necessarily cause management to question P&T’s  ability to contribute financially to the environmental remediation of Port Gamble. The Partnership’s management does not currently have enough information to estimate the amount of this liability, but we note that P&T’s publicly reported financial statements reflect a $1.2 million liability accrual for environmental remediation related to Port Gamble.  
 
Were P&T to fail to satisfy its obligations under the contribution agreement, whether because of its solvency issues or otherwise, the Partnership’s liability for Port Gamble remediation costs may increase, and those increases may be material to the Partnership. Moreover, to the extent there arises substantial doubt about P&T’s ability to satisfy its liabilities, the Partnership may be required to increase its liability for its estimates for environmental remediation, which would be reflected in a charge to earnings during the period in which the estimated liability is increased. We are still assessing the potential implications of this new information about P&T for the sharing of remediation costs at Port Gamble.\

ITEM 2. UNREGISTERED SALES OF EQUITY SECURITIES AND USE OF PROCEEDS
 
(a) – (e) None
 
ITEM 3. DEFAULTS UPON SENIOR SECURITIES
 
None
 
ITEM 4. SUBMISSION OF MATTERS TO A VOTE OF SECURITY HOLDERS
 
None
 
ITEM 5. OTHER INFORMATION
 
(a)           None
 
 
(b)
There have been no material changes in the procedures for shareholders of the Partnership’s general partner to nominate directors to the board.
 
 
31

 
ITEM 6. Exhibits
 
Exhibits.
 
 
31.1
Certification of Chief Executive Officer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a).
 
 
31.2
Certification of Chief Financial Officer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(a).
 
 
32.1
Certification of Chief Executive Officer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(b) and 18 U.S.C. Section 1350 (furnished with this report in accordance with SEC Rel. No. 33-8238.
 
 
32.2
Certification of Chief Financial Officer pursuant to Rule 13a-14(b) and 18 U.S.C. Section 1350 (furnished with this report in accordance with SEC Rel. No. 33-8238.
 
 
99.1
Press release announcing quarterly financial results, incorporated by reference to the registrant’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed on October 31, 2007.
 
 
99.1
Press release announcing unit repurchase plan, incorporated by reference to the registrant’s Current Report on Form 8-K filed on October 31, 2007
 
 
32

 
SIGNATURES
 
Pursuant to the requirement of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned, thereunto duly authorized, on November 7, 2007.
 
 
POPE RESOURCES,
 
 
A Delaware Limited Partnership
 
       
 
By:
POPE MGP, Inc.
 
   
Managing General Partner
 
       
 
       
 
 
By: /s/ David L. Nunes
 
   
David L. Nunes
 
   
President and Chief Executive Officer
 
   
(Principal Executive Officer)
 
 
       
 
 
By: /s/ Thomas M. Ringo
 
   
Thomas M. Ringo
 
   
Vice President and CFO
 
   
(Principal Accounting and Financial Officer)
 
 
 
33
a5540675ex311.htm
Exhibit 31.1
 
CERTIFICATION OF CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER
 
I, David L. Nunes, certify that:
 
 
1.
I have reviewed this quarterly report on Form 10-Q of Pope Resources;
 
 
2.
Based on my knowledge, this report does not contain any untrue statement of a material fact or omit to state a material fact necessary to make the statements made, in light of the circumstances under which such statements were made, not misleading with respect to the period covered by this report;
 
 
3.
Based on my knowledge, the financial statements, and other financial information included in this report, fairly present in all material respects the financial condition, results of operations and cash flows of the registrant as of, and for, the periods presented in this report;
 
 
4.
The registrant’s other certifying officer and I are responsible for establishing and maintaining disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e)) and internal control over financial reporting (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a–15(f) and 15d–15(f)) for the registrant and have:
 
(a)  
Designed such disclosure controls and procedures, or caused such disclosure controls and procedures to be designed under our supervision, to ensure that material information relating to the registrant, including its consolidated subsidiaries, is made known to us by others within those entities, particularly during the period in which this report is being prepared;
 
(b)  
Designed such internal control over financial reporting, or caused such internal control over financial reporting to be designed under our supervision, to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles;
 
 
 (c)
Evaluated the effectiveness of the registrant’s disclosure controls and procedures and presented in this report our conclusions about the effectiveness of the disclosure controls and procedures, as of the end of the period covered by this report based on such evaluation; and
 
 
 (d)
Disclosed in this report any change in the registrant’s internal control over financial reporting that occurred during the registrant’s most recent fiscal quarter that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the registrant’s internal control over financial reporting; and
 
 
5.
The registrant’s other certifying officer and I have disclosed, based on our most recent evaluation of internal control over financial reporting, to the registrant’s auditors and the audit committee of registrant’s board of directors (or persons performing the equivalent function):
 
 
 (a)
All significant deficiencies and material weaknesses in the design or operation of internal control over financial reporting which are reasonably likely to adversely affect the registrant’s ability to record, process, summarize and report financial information; and
 
 
 (b)
Any fraud, whether or not material, that involves management or other employees who have a significant role in the registrant’s internal control over financial reporting.
 
 
Date: November 7, 2007
/s/  David L. Nunes
David L. Nunes
Chief Executive Officer
 
a5540675ex312.htm
Exhibit 31.2
CERTIFICATION OF CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER
 
I, Thomas M. Ringo, certify that:
 
 
1.
I have reviewed this quarterly report on Form 10-Q of Pope Resources;
 
 
2.
Based on my knowledge, this report does not contain any untrue statement of a material fact or omit to state a material fact necessary to make the statements made, in light of the circumstances under which such statements were made, not misleading with respect to the period covered by this report;
 
 
3.
Based on my knowledge, the financial statements, and other financial information included in this report, fairly present in all material respects the financial condition, results of operations and cash flows of the registrant as of, and for, the periods presented in this report;
 
 
4.
The registrant’s other certifying officer and I are responsible for establishing and maintaining disclosure controls and procedures (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a-15(e) and 15d-15(e)) and internal control over financial reporting (as defined in Exchange Act Rules 13a–15(f) and 15d–15(f)) for the registrant and have:
 
(a)  
Designed such disclosure controls and procedures, or caused such disclosure controls and procedures to be designed under our supervision, to ensure that material information relating to the registrant, including its consolidated subsidiaries, is made known to us by others within those entities, particularly during the period in which this report is being prepared;
 
(b)  
Designed such internal control over financial reporting, or caused such internal control over financial reporting to be designed under our supervision, to provide reasonable assurance regarding the reliability of financial reporting and preparation of financial statements for external purposes in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles;
 
 
 (c)
Evaluated the effectiveness of the registrant’s disclosure controls and procedures and presented in this report our conclusions about the effectiveness of the disclosure controls and procedures, as of the end of the period covered by this report based on such evaluation; and
 
 
 (d)
Disclosed in this report any change in the registrant’s internal control over financial reporting that occurred during the registrant’s most recent fiscal quarter that has materially affected, or is reasonably likely to materially affect, the registrant’s internal control over financial reporting; and
 
 
5.
The registrant’s other certifying officer and I have disclosed, based on our most recent evaluation of internal control over financial reporting, to the registrant’s auditors and the audit committee of registrant’s board of directors (or persons performing the equivalent function):
 
 
 (a)
All significant deficiencies and material weaknesses in the design or operation of internal control over financial reporting which are reasonably likely to adversely affect the registrant’s ability to record, process, summarize and report financial information; and
 
 
 (b)
Any fraud, whether or not material, that involves management or other employees who have a significant role in the registrant’s internal control over financial reporting.
 
 
 
Date: November 7, 2007
/s/  Thomas M. Ringo
Thomas M. Ringo
Chief Financial Officer
 
 
                                                                       
                                      
                        
a5540675ex321.htm
Exhibit 32.1

CERTIFICATION PURSUANT TO
18 U.S.C. SECTION 1350,
AS ADOPTED PURSUANT TO
SECTION 906 OF THE SARBANES-OXLEY ACT OF 2002


In connection with the Quarterly Report of Pope Resources (the “Company”) on Form 10-Q for the period ended September 30, 2007, as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on the date hereof (the “Report”), I, David L. Nunes, Chief Executive Officer of the Company, certify, pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, that:

(1)
The Report fully complies with the requirements of Section 13(a) or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934; and

(2)
The information contained in the Report fairly presents, in all material respects, the financial condition and result of operations of the Company as of, and for, the periods presented in the Report.

This certification is being furnished solely to comply with the requirements of 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, and shall not be incorporated by reference into any of the Company’s filings under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, or otherwise be deemed to be filed as part of the Report or under such Acts.

 
/s/ David L. Nunes
 
David L. Nunes
 
Chief Executive Officer
 
 
November 7, 2007
a5540675ex322.htm
Exhibit 32.2


CERTIFICATION PURSUANT TO
18 U.S.C. SECTION 1350,
AS ADOPTED PURSUANT TO
SECTION 906 OF THE SARBANES-OXLEY ACT OF 2002


In connection with the Quarterly Report of Pope Resources (the “Company”) on Form 10-Q for the period ended September 30, 2007, as filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on the date hereof (the “Report”), I, Thomas M. Ringo, Chief Financial Officer of the Company, certify, pursuant to 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, as adopted pursuant to Section 906 of the Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002, that:

(1)
The Report fully complies with the requirements of Section 13(a) or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934; and

(2)
The information contained in the Report fairly presents, in all material respects, the financial condition and result of operations of the Company as of, and for, the periods presented in the Report.

This certification is being furnished solely to comply with the requirements of 18 U.S.C. Section 1350, and shall not be incorporated by reference into any of the Company’s filings under the Securities Act of 1933 or the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, or otherwise be deemed to be filed as part of the Report or under such Acts.
 
 
/s/ Thomas M. Ringo
 
Thomas M. Ringo
 
Chief Financial Officer
 
 
November 7, 2007